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There are days where you’d swear the prices
at the gas pump are going up as you watch. Gas prices have
increased 25% in just the last four months, with no sign of
stopping. In the last 15 years the average price of a gallon of
gas has more than quadrupled.
Unfortunately, while gas prices have gone
through the roof, most people’s pay has not, which has probably
left you wondering how high gas prices are likely to rise, and
whether or not you’ll be able to keep your head above water.
Gas prices are affected by a number of
different things. At the level of the gas station, gas prices are
set by cost of a replacement. Basically, gas has to be priced
according to how much it will cost to replace it, rather than how
much it cost to buy it. This means you have to pay for the fear of
prices rising later.
The rising price of crude oil is another
factor that has caused gas prices to rise. This attributed to the
actions of some investors, who have started bidding the price of a
barrel of oil ever higher, resulting in high gas prices.
This can work together with the cost of
replacement, since when costs go up, speculators begin buying more
in anticipation of higher profits, which in turn causes prices to
rise, result in a vicious cycle of ever rising prices.
This is compounded by the weakening US
dollar. When our currency gets weak against other countries, where
we get much of our oil, the oil companies begin to charge more for
gas. This, again, is another example of a vicious circle pushing
prices up, since rising gas prices negatively affect the economy,
which drives the dollar down and, well, you get the idea.
So how high are gas prices going to go?
Investment firm Goldman Sachs, one of the world leaders in
finance, anticipates that crude oil will rise another 25 dollars
per barrel. Usually a dollar increase in a barrel will result in a
rise in gas price at about 2 cents per gallon.
If
Goldman Sachs is correct, then you’re looking at least another
50 to 60 cents increase in the price of a gallon of gas. For most
of use, that means gas prices of over 4.00 dollars a gallon. The
upshot is that gas prices are expected to drop in the fall,
although you shouldn’t expect to see them below 3.00 dollars any
time soon. Better keep tightening those belts and pushing to get
better fuel economy.
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